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Red111
283927.7
325554.8
513732.8
Blue96
997813.6
997925.9
998043.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14457010020025030035011196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+5
+5Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +2
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
77Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
12Foul points2
111Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.81.4
55.153.6
Auto7.3
Teleop38.1
End9.4
red by 11.3
43.54.0
28.232.2
Auto9.1
Teleop29.5
End4.9
Second
5137
#13
32.81.4
38.036.6
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End4.8
red by 6.9
9979
#20
25.94.0
16.420.4
Auto4.1
Teleop17.4
End4.5
Third
2839
#26
27.71.4
27.426.0
Auto2.5
Teleop22.9
End2.2
red by 14.1
9978
#27
13.64.0
13.417.4
Auto2.7
Teleop9.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed