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Red81
547433.7
441948.8
688513.6
Blue21
265813.2
95736.9
998313.3
94%Model gave it6%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049501502008121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+44Teleop
+48Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +27
7Coral scored#3
26Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
40Total teleop13
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
12Foul points0
81Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.81.2
46.945.7
Auto10.7
Teleop30.7
End7.5
red by 35.6
9983
#18
13.30.2
0.70.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.8
Second
5474
#21
33.71.2
27.226.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End4.7
red by 20.4
2658
#31
13.20.1
10.710.8
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End0.8
Third
6885
#19
13.61.2
12.811.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.8
red by 6.7
9573
#35
6.90.1
8.08.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed4%Barge oddsMissed