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Red164
97308.9
519978.9
945239.9
Blue80
997623.6
997729.9
998115.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13445010015020025016480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+94Teleop
+84Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +73
23Coral scored#8
84Coral points29
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#4
18Processor points0
16Net points16
34Algae points16
118Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#4
8L3#2
9L2#1
6L1 · trough#1
36Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points0
164Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.93.1
69.672.7
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
red by 49.1
9977
#33
29.94.1
13.517.6
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Second
9452
#14
39.93.1
37.040.1
Auto6.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
red by 16.3
9976
#22
23.64.1
8.412.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End6.5
Third
9730
#30
8.93.1
0.43.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.2
blue by 6.3
9981
#25
15.24.1
9.113.2
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned