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Red39
95736.9
513732.8
997925.9
Blue95
248537.3
254346.0
998313.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610202004006008003995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+42
Endgame+50
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +25
3Coral scored#9
10Coral points31
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
10Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
14Foul points20
39Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5137
#13
32.82.7
36.633.9
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End4.8
blue by 13.2
46.00.3
45.945.5
Auto5.9
Teleop29.4
End10.7
Second
9979
#20
25.94.5
20.416.0
Auto4.1
Teleop17.4
End4.5
blue by 11.4
2485
#12
37.30.3
33.433.1
Auto9.3
Teleop26.2
End1.7
Third
9573
#35
6.92.7
8.15.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.1
End1.2
blue by 6.4
9983
#18
13.30.6
0.90.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed