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Red59
998043.5
998229.2
283927.7
Blue115
688513.6
551429.4
519978.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6913005010015020025030059115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+32
Endgame+48
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +15
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points41
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
46Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +16
4Cage & park20
4Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points8
59Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.53.5
32.228.7
Auto9.1
Teleop29.5
End4.9
blue by 35.4
78.90.9
72.771.7
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
Second
9982
#29
29.23.5
20.316.8
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End8.5
blue by 0.2
5514
#16
29.40.9
26.025.1
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.6
Third
2839
#26
27.72.1
26.023.9
Auto2.5
Teleop22.9
End2.2
red by 14.1
6885
#19
13.60.9
11.610.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned