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Red63
889133.5
998115.2
97308.9
Blue125
547433.7
325554.8
298416.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3111305010015020025063125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+40
Endgame+50
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
9Coral scored#16
34Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
48Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points12
63Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8891
#11
33.51.1
29.130.3
Auto4.8
Teleop26.8
End1.9
blue by 21.3
54.81.3
53.654.9
Auto7.3
Teleop38.1
End9.4
Second
9981
#25
15.21.9
13.215.1
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End3.2
blue by 18.4
5474
#21
33.71.3
26.027.3
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End4.7
Third
9730
#30
8.91.1
3.54.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.2
blue by 7.8
2984
#24
16.61.3
14.315.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
6%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned