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Red175
312850.4
1058621.2
699576.3
Blue140
210240.6
153864.6
441948.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14815480100120140160180200175140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+19Teleop
+29Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +12
21Coral scored#21
74Coral points74
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
100Total teleop88
Reef
8L4#8
9L3#8
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points6
175Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.31.0
62.964.0
Auto16.5
Teleop50.8
End9.0
red by 11.7
64.61.2
54.653.3
Auto13.4
Teleop43.7
End7.4
Second
50.41.0
48.249.3
Auto9.9
Teleop29.0
End11.4
red by 1.5
48.81.2
45.744.4
Auto10.7
Teleop30.7
End7.5
Third
21.21.0
20.721.8
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End1.5
blue by 19.5
40.61.2
34.233.0
Auto5.1
Teleop26.6
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned