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Red64
416015.4
265813.2
997729.9
Blue118
997925.9
312850.4
248537.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47127010015020025030035064118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+46
Endgame+60
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +32
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
47Total teleop79
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
6Foul points0
64Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9977
#33
29.90.4
18.117.6
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
blue by 20.5
50.40.4
47.547.9
Auto9.9
Teleop29.0
End11.4
Second
4160
#36
15.40.3
16.215.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End3.2
blue by 21.9
2485
#12
37.30.4
31.531.9
Auto9.3
Teleop26.2
End1.7
Third
2658
#31
13.20.3
13.813.5
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End0.8
blue by 12.7
9979
#20
25.90.6
19.620.2
Auto4.1
Teleop17.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned