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Red106
283927.7
254346.0
364728.6
Blue145
97308.9
441948.8
473864.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111111406080100120140160106145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave0
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points37
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +8
16Coral scored#19
56Coral points68
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
78Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#9
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
106Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.8
45.145.9
Auto5.9
Teleop29.4
End10.7
blue by 18.8
4738
#10
64.82.5
49.652.1
Auto19.0
Teleop37.3
End8.5
Second
3647
#23
28.60.8
23.524.4
Auto3.6
Teleop23.4
End1.6
blue by 20.3
48.82.5
46.649.1
Auto10.7
Teleop30.7
End7.5
Third
2839
#26
27.70.8
24.725.5
Auto2.5
Teleop22.9
End2.2
red by 18.8
9730
#30
8.92.5
5.58.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed