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Red125
998043.5
99756.7
519978.9
Blue42
997813.6
547433.7
1058621.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006105015020012542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+49Teleop
+71Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points14
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +42
12Coral scored#3
43Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
57Total teleop15
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#7
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
12Foul points0
125Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.91.1
70.071.0
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
red by 45.3
5474
#21
33.71.3
28.126.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End4.7
Second
43.51.6
27.929.6
Auto9.1
Teleop29.5
End4.9
red by 22.3
21.21.3
20.218.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End1.5
Third
9975
#32
6.71.8
-0.71.0
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 6.9
9978
#27
13.62.0
13.311.2
Auto2.7
Teleop9.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed