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Red103
153864.6
551429.4
998313.3
Blue46
998115.2
298416.6
374917.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9947015020025010346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+65Teleop
+87Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +62
13Coral scored#1
45Coral points5
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
6Processor points0
16Net points0
22Algae points0
67Total teleop5
Reef
4L4#1
5L3#1
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#2
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points30
103Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.61.7
54.956.6
Auto13.4
Teleop43.7
End7.4
red by 47.3
3749
#34
17.32.4
19.717.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.6
Second
5514
#16
29.41.7
21.723.4
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.6
red by 12.7
2984
#24
16.62.4
17.815.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Third
9983
#18
13.32.6
1.54.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.8
blue by 1.9
9981
#25
15.23.8
14.911.1
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed