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Red115
325554.8
889133.5
669510.7
Blue96
945239.9
699576.3
688513.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9013505015020025011596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +24
21Coral scored#14
75Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
93Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#5
3L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
115Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.81.8
53.855.6
Auto7.3
Teleop38.1
End9.4
blue by 21.5
76.31.3
64.763.4
Auto16.5
Teleop50.8
End9.0
Second
8891
#11
33.51.8
28.530.3
Auto4.8
Teleop26.8
End1.9
blue by 6.3
9452
#14
39.91.3
40.439.1
Auto6.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
Third
6695
#15
10.71.8
5.57.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End1.5
blue by 2.9
6885
#19
13.61.3
10.69.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsMissed