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Red76
997623.6
95736.9
210240.6
Blue65
16228.7
513732.8
998229.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526701002003004005007665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+1
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +4
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
51Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
76Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.61.2
32.934.0
Auto5.1
Teleop26.6
End8.9
red by 7.8
5137
#13
32.80.8
33.833.0
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End4.8
Second
9976
#22
23.61.8
14.916.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End6.5
blue by 5.6
9982
#29
29.21.3
14.212.8
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End8.5
Third
9573
#35
6.91.2
4.86.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.1
End1.2
blue by 1.8
1622
#28
8.70.8
5.14.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned