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Red108
998115.2
1058621.2
364728.6
Blue106
416015.4
325554.8
998229.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions491060150200250108106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+22Teleop
0Endgame0
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
19Coral scored#13
67Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
87Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#5
9L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
2Foul points0
108Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#23
28.63.0
24.427.4
Auto3.6
Teleop23.4
End1.6
blue by 26.2
54.80.6
55.656.2
Auto7.3
Teleop38.1
End9.4
Second
21.23.0
18.921.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End1.5
blue by 8.0
9982
#29
29.21.0
12.813.8
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End8.5
Third
9981
#25
15.24.4
11.115.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End3.2
blue by 0.2
4160
#36
15.40.6
15.916.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned