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Red110
95736.9
547433.7
312850.4
Blue120
669510.7
254346.0
210240.6
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9510160708090110120110120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +12
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#7
6Processor points6
8Net points28
14Algae points34
62Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
6Foul points8
110Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.41.2
47.949.1
Auto9.9
Teleop29.0
End11.4
red by 4.4
46.01.2
45.947.2
Auto5.9
Teleop29.4
End10.7
Second
5474
#21
33.71.2
26.828.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End4.7
blue by 7.0
40.61.2
34.035.3
Auto5.1
Teleop26.6
End8.9
Third
9573
#35
6.91.2
6.07.2
Auto2.6
Teleop3.1
End1.2
blue by 3.8
6695
#15
10.71.2
7.38.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned