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Red156
254346.0
325554.8
153864.6
Blue106
669510.7
997729.9
547433.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200530100150250300156106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +47
26Coral scored#12
95Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
12Processor points6
4Net points16
16Algae points22
111Total teleop64
Reef
11L4#7
9L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
156Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.61.2
58.156.9
Auto13.4
Teleop43.7
End7.4
red by 30.9
5474
#21
33.72.2
28.030.2
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End4.7
Second
54.81.2
56.255.0
Auto7.3
Teleop38.1
End9.4
red by 24.9
9977
#33
29.92.9
22.125.0
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Third
46.01.2
47.245.9
Auto5.9
Teleop29.4
End10.7
red by 35.2
6695
#15
10.72.2
8.610.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned