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Red166
16228.7
699576.3
551429.4
Blue127
519978.9
997813.6
513732.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97138050200250300166127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+35Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points23
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +32
26Coral scored#14
94Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
114Total teleop82
Reef
14L4#9
5L3#6
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#26
BargeRed +4
20Cage & park16
20Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
6Foul points6
166Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.34.6
63.468.0
Auto16.5
Teleop50.8
End9.0
blue by 2.6
78.90.4
71.071.4
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
Second
5514
#16
29.44.6
23.428.0
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.6
blue by 3.4
5137
#13
32.80.4
33.033.3
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End4.8
Third
1622
#28
8.74.6
4.38.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End0.1
blue by 4.9
9978
#27
13.60.6
11.211.8
Auto2.7
Teleop9.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned