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Red213
473864.8
519978.9
998229.2
Blue123
248537.3
998043.5
298416.6
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17682050100150200250300350213123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+60Teleop
+90Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave0
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points23
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +32
22Coral scored#18
80Coral points66
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
18Processor points12
28Net points16
46Algae points28
126Total teleop94
Reef
16L4#9
9L3#9
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#29
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points0
213Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.93.5
71.474.9
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
red by 35.4
43.52.1
37.139.2
Auto9.1
Teleop29.5
End4.9
Second
4738
#10
64.83.5
57.360.8
Auto19.0
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 27.5
2485
#12
37.31.6
31.633.2
Auto9.3
Teleop26.2
End1.7
Third
9982
#29
29.25.1
13.818.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End8.5
red by 12.5
2984
#24
16.61.6
15.016.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned