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Red40
998115.2
95736.9
16228.7
Blue110
283927.7
699576.3
99756.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121225010015020025030040110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+72
Endgame+82
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +61
4Coral scored#14
13Coral points50
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
17Total teleop78
Reef
2L4#8
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
12Foul points0
40Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9981
#25
15.20.3
15.515.2
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End3.2
blue by 61.1
76.30.6
68.068.6
Auto16.5
Teleop50.8
End9.0
Second
1622
#28
8.70.2
8.98.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End0.1
blue by 19.0
2839
#26
27.70.6
27.127.7
Auto2.5
Teleop22.9
End2.2
Third
9573
#35
6.90.2
7.26.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.1
End1.2
red by 0.2
9975
#32
6.70.9
5.86.7
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned