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Red97
441948.8
1058621.2
513732.8
Blue44
265813.2
374917.3
997623.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1253801001502002509744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+49Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
14Coral scored#5
51Coral points19
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
75Total teleop33
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#10
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
97Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.5
48.948.4
Auto10.7
Teleop30.7
End7.5
red by 25.3
9976
#22
23.60.5
19.919.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End6.5
Second
5137
#13
32.80.5
33.332.9
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End4.8
red by 15.5
3749
#34
17.30.4
17.116.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.6
Third
21.20.5
21.921.4
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End1.5
red by 7.9
2658
#31
13.20.4
13.212.8
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed