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Red95
16228.7
547433.7
998043.5
Blue32
97308.9
374917.3
416015.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5957203040507080901009532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+53Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
10Coral scored#4
37Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
51Total teleop19
Reef
6L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
95Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.54.6
10.314.8
Auto9.1
Teleop29.5
End4.9
red by 26.2
3749
#34
17.31.6
25.023.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.6
Second
5474
#21
33.72.7
29.031.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End4.7
red by 18.3
4160
#36
15.41.6
24.723.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End3.2
Third
1622
#28
8.72.7
14.617.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End0.1
blue by 0.2
9730
#30
8.91.6
7.05.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed