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Red134
699576.3
997623.6
325554.8
Blue30
312850.4
998313.3
283927.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441205010020025013430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+34Auto
+82Teleop
+104Endgame
+104Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
0Leave3
7Coral scored#0
37Coral points0
37Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +48
13Coral scored#4
45Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
71Total teleop23
Reef
9L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#6
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +104
0Foul points0
134Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.30.1
70.570.5
Auto16.5
Teleop50.8
End9.0
red by 25.9
50.45.6
66.060.4
Auto9.9
Teleop29.0
End11.4
Second
54.80.1
52.252.2
Auto7.3
Teleop38.1
End9.4
red by 27.1
2839
#26
27.75.6
37.031.5
Auto2.5
Teleop22.9
End2.2
Third
9976
#22
23.60.1
10.310.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End6.5
red by 10.3
9983
#18
13.39.3
10.31.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
43%Coral oddsMissed62%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed