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Red70
889133.5
513732.8
265813.2
Blue66
153864.6
998115.2
99756.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96650501502007066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
0Teleop0
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
6Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
16Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +5
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
48Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
70Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8891
#11
33.51.0
32.031.0
Auto4.8
Teleop26.8
End1.9
blue by 31.1
64.61.4
66.865.4
Auto13.4
Teleop43.7
End7.4
Second
5137
#13
32.81.0
41.940.9
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End4.8
red by 17.6
9981
#25
15.22.4
10.37.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End3.2
Third
2658
#31
13.21.0
11.110.1
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End0.8
red by 6.5
9975
#32
6.72.4
10.37.9
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed