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Red68
688513.6
298416.6
254346.0
Blue85
1058621.2
519978.9
997729.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861280501502002503003504006885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
6Coral scored#11
23Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
37Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
68Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.6
45.645.0
Auto5.9
Teleop29.4
End10.7
blue by 33.0
78.90.9
68.767.8
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
Second
2984
#24
16.60.6
16.115.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End1.0
blue by 13.2
9977
#33
29.91.6
10.38.7
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Third
6885
#19
13.60.6
15.615.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.8
blue by 7.6
21.21.2
20.018.8
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed