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Red70
1058621.2
998313.3
325554.8
Blue103
519978.9
248537.3
16228.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66153010020025030035070103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
6Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +12
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
50Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
70Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.80.1
52.252.1
Auto7.3
Teleop38.1
End9.4
blue by 24.1
78.92.1
67.865.7
Auto16.0
Teleop49.6
End13.3
Second
21.20.2
18.818.6
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End1.5
blue by 16.1
2485
#12
37.32.1
49.247.1
Auto9.3
Teleop26.2
End1.7
Third
9983
#18
13.30.2
1.00.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End2.8
red by 4.6
1622
#28
8.72.1
17.415.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned