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Red129
998043.5
998115.2
945239.9
Blue124
441948.8
254346.0
312850.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381850100150250300350129124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
+17Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave6
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
16Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +41
21Coral scored#13
77Coral points46
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
6Processor points0
16Net points12
22Algae points12
99Total teleop58
Reef
11L4#4
6L3#8
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
129Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.56.8
14.821.6
Auto9.1
Teleop29.5
End4.9
blue by 6.8
50.42.5
60.457.9
Auto9.9
Teleop29.0
End11.4
Second
9452
#14
39.94.1
37.441.5
Auto6.7
Teleop31.6
End1.5
blue by 9.0
48.82.5
47.044.5
Auto10.7
Teleop30.7
End7.5
Third
9981
#25
15.26.8
7.914.7
Auto2.6
Teleop9.5
End3.2
blue by 30.8
46.02.5
45.042.5
Auto5.9
Teleop29.4
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned