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Red95
97308.9
997623.6
153864.6
Blue22
95736.9
688513.6
416015.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions864601502002503009522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+57Teleop
+61Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
8Coral scored#3
30Coral points11
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
50Total teleop11
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#4
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
12Foul points0
95Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.1
65.465.5
Auto13.4
Teleop43.7
End7.4
red by 49.2
4160
#36
15.41.6
23.021.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End3.2
Second
9976
#22
23.60.2
10.410.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End6.5
red by 10.0
6885
#19
13.61.6
15.013.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.8
Third
9730
#30
8.90.1
5.35.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.2
red by 2.0
9573
#35
6.91.6
8.16.5
Auto2.6
Teleop3.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed