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Red64
997925.9
547433.7
374917.3
Blue106
699576.3
473864.8
513732.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57223010020030040064106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+48
Endgame+48
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +41
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
26Total teleop67
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
6Foul points0
64Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5474
#21
33.70.7
31.731.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End4.7
blue by 42.6
76.35.5
70.565.0
Auto16.5
Teleop50.8
End9.0
Second
9979
#20
25.91.1
10.29.1
Auto4.1
Teleop17.4
End4.5
blue by 38.9
4738
#10
64.85.5
74.569.0
Auto19.0
Teleop37.3
End8.5
Third
3749
#34
17.30.7
23.422.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.6
blue by 15.5
5137
#13
32.85.5
40.935.4
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsMissed