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Red108
513732.8
312850.4
364728.6
Blue79
551429.4
298416.6
254346.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410405015020025030035010879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +5
11Coral scored#11
41Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
53Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#4
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points0
108Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.2
50.450.2
Auto9.9
Teleop29.0
End11.4
red by 4.4
46.00.3
45.945.7
Auto5.9
Teleop29.4
End10.7
Second
5137
#13
32.80.2
32.932.7
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End4.8
red by 3.4
5514
#16
29.40.3
29.329.0
Auto6.5
Teleop17.3
End5.6
Third
3647
#23
28.60.2
28.628.4
Auto3.6
Teleop23.4
End1.6
red by 11.9
2984
#24
16.60.3
16.616.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End1.0