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Red214
699576.3
153864.6
998229.2
Blue142
248537.3
210240.6
997925.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180104050150200250300214142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+42Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points13
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +31
24Coral scored#20
88Coral points71
4Processor algae#5
9Net algae#4
24Processor points30
36Net points16
60Algae points46
148Total teleop117
Reef
10L4#9
9L3#6
8L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#32
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
214Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.31.1
68.669.7
Auto16.5
Teleop50.8
End9.0
red by 35.7
40.60.8
36.537.3
Auto5.1
Teleop26.6
End8.9
Second
64.61.1
56.958.0
Auto13.4
Teleop43.7
End7.4
red by 27.3
2485
#12
37.30.8
33.234.0
Auto9.3
Teleop26.2
End1.7
Third
9982
#29
29.21.5
18.920.4
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End8.5
red by 3.3
9979
#20
25.91.0
20.921.8
Auto4.1
Teleop17.4
End4.5