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Red118
56694.5
263761.4
519968.7
Blue85
580527.7
59734.9
113845.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14212605010020025011885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+23Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +16
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
81Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#5
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
118Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#15
68.71.6
70.969.3
Auto11.0
Teleop46.7
End10.9
red by 23.2
1138
#13
45.63.1
53.550.4
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End9.5
Second
61.41.6
43.141.5
Auto17.1
Teleop36.4
End8.0
red by 26.5
597
#24
34.93.1
35.332.1
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End1.3
Third
5669
#30
4.51.6
15.613.9
Auto1.4
Teleop1.1
End2.0
blue by 23.2
5805
#25
27.73.1
28.125.0
Auto5.5
Teleop18.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned