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Red104
499926.6
325552.2
265934.1
Blue74
407919.1
226.1
69654.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13910905020025010474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+26Teleop
+42Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +24
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points38
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
76Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#16
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points12
104Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#14
52.21.3
64.563.2
Auto9.0
Teleop35.4
End7.8
blue by 2.2
696
#8
54.32.8
57.855.0
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End0.8
Second
2659
#35
34.11.3
31.029.6
Auto6.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
red by 15.0
4079
#42
19.12.8
30.928.1
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End1.7
Third
4999
#31
26.61.3
28.627.3
Auto4.1
Teleop16.6
End5.9
red by 20.5
22
#38
6.12.8
14.712.0
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed