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Red45
1102413.4
852129.6
116038.4
Blue52
420139.4
375917.6
271027.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651160501001502002504552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
6Coral scored#4
23Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
27Total teleop17
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points12
45Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#26
38.41.4
37.035.6
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End2.0
blue by 1.0
4201
#11
39.44.3
37.733.4
Auto8.5
Teleop24.8
End6.1
Second
8521
#10
29.61.4
19.718.3
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.7
red by 2.3
2710
#23
27.34.3
36.532.3
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End5.0
Third
13.42.3
9.16.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End2.2
blue by 4.3
3759
#29
17.64.3
30.125.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed