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Red87
412354.3
68728.5
8060-0.2
Blue58
607220.7
119760.0
508913.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961660501502002508758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
9Coral scored#8
31Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
45Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points0
87Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.30.8
54.453.7
Auto13.1
Teleop36.9
End4.4
blue by 5.7
60.05.1
77.372.3
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End5.7
Second
687
#22
28.50.8
30.730.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4
red by 7.8
6072
#36
20.75.1
26.321.3
Auto2.6
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Third
8060
#32
-0.20.9
7.16.2
Auto1.8
Teleop-2.1
End0.2
blue by 13.8
5089
#33
13.65.1
30.225.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed