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Red24
580527.7
226.1
70234.4
Blue107
59734.9
441946.0
407919.1
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8011505010015020025030024107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+71
Endgame+85
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +67
2Coral scored#16
7Coral points58
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
11Total teleop78
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
0L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
4Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
2Foul points0
24Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
#17
34.43.5
38.234.6
Auto8.1
Teleop25.1
End1.2
blue by 11.7
4419
#12
46.00.2
43.643.8
Auto7.6
Teleop30.5
End7.9
Second
5805
#25
27.73.5
25.021.5
Auto5.5
Teleop18.8
End3.5
blue by 7.2
597
#24
34.90.2
32.132.4
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End1.3
Third
22
#38
6.13.5
12.08.4
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End0.6
blue by 13.0
4079
#42
19.10.2
28.128.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed