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Red143
508913.6
29476.3
113845.6
Blue101
69654.3
432240.3
375917.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164140050100200250300350143101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+24Teleop
+46Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +17
18Coral scored#13
63Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
87Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#5
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#23
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
2Foul points6
143Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#5
76.30.3
69.469.1
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End8.8
red by 22.0
696
#8
54.32.6
55.052.4
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End0.8
Second
1138
#13
45.60.3
50.450.1
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End9.5
red by 5.3
4322
#27
40.32.6
52.750.1
Auto9.6
Teleop29.1
End1.5
Third
5089
#33
13.60.3
25.124.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 4.0
3759
#29
17.62.6
25.823.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed