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Red34
56694.5
69117.9
340822.1
Blue119
852129.6
499926.6
519968.7
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41140010020025034119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+53
Endgame+73
Fouls+85
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +36
3Coral scored#10
9Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
13Total teleop49
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +85
6Foul points18
34Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3408
#34
22.11.4
15.914.5
Auto3.2
Teleop17.2
End1.6
blue by 46.7
5199
#15
68.70.9
69.368.3
Auto11.0
Teleop46.7
End10.9
Second
691
#18
17.91.4
19.718.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End6.2
blue by 11.7
8521
#10
29.60.9
18.317.4
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.7
Third
5669
#30
4.51.4
13.912.5
Auto1.4
Teleop1.1
End2.0
blue by 22.1
4999
#31
26.60.9
27.326.4
Auto4.1
Teleop16.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed