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Red91
412354.3
271027.3
347632.0
Blue44
68728.5
96817.8
427627.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156750501002002503009144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
59Total teleop25
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
2Foul points6
91Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.33.4
53.750.3
Auto13.1
Teleop36.9
End4.4
red by 25.8
687
#22
28.53.0
30.027.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4
Second
3476
#19
32.03.4
53.750.3
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End4.2
red by 4.1
4276
#37
27.93.0
34.131.2
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End7.0
Third
2710
#23
27.33.4
32.328.9
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End5.0
red by 9.6
968
#40
17.83.0
18.715.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned