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Red113
940883.7
704241.3
226.1
Blue137
29476.3
69654.3
69117.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138152050100200250113137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +29
16Coral scored#24
57Coral points86
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
77Total teleop106
Reef
11L4#9
3L3#8
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
2Foul points0
113Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.71.1
76.275.1
Auto16.1
Teleop56.9
End10.7
red by 7.3
294
#5
76.30.4
69.168.8
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End8.8
Second
41.31.1
39.538.4
Auto5.4
Teleop30.3
End5.6
blue by 13.0
696
#8
54.30.4
52.452.1
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End0.8
Third
22
#38
6.11.1
8.47.3
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End0.6
blue by 11.8
691
#18
17.90.4
18.317.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned