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Red27
68728.5
607220.7
226.1
Blue113
704241.3
580527.7
59950.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56123010015020027113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+92
Endgame+86
Fouls+86
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +85
2Coral scored#16
8Coral points59
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
0Processor points18
4Net points20
4Algae points38
12Total teleop97
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#4
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#26
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +86
0Foul points0
27Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#22
28.51.9
27.325.4
Auto5.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4
blue by 21.8
599
#3
50.30.4
42.042.4
Auto10.5
Teleop38.8
End1.0
Second
6072
#36
20.71.9
20.618.7
Auto2.6
Teleop15.7
End2.4
blue by 20.7
41.30.4
38.438.8
Auto5.4
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Third
22
#38
6.11.9
7.35.5
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End0.6
blue by 21.5
5805
#25
27.70.4
20.320.7
Auto5.5
Teleop18.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned