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Red70
59734.9
69117.9
271027.3
Blue53
508913.6
622020.8
325552.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781180501001502002507053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+3Teleop
+15Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
10Coral scored#9
36Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
50Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
12Cage & park0
12Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
2Foul points0
70Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#24
34.90.6
30.630.0
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End1.3
blue by 17.2
3255
#14
52.23.3
58.254.9
Auto9.0
Teleop35.4
End7.8
Second
2710
#23
27.30.6
28.327.7
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End5.0
red by 6.5
6220
#21
20.83.3
19.716.3
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End3.8
Third
691
#18
17.90.6
17.917.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End6.2
red by 4.3
5089
#33
13.63.3
25.121.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed