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Red47
375917.6
96817.8
407919.1
Blue74
29476.3
499926.6
56694.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4912401001502004774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+39
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
5Coral scored#12
19Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
29Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
12Cage & park0
12Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
47Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4079
#42
19.10.8
22.721.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End1.7
blue by 57.2
294
#5
76.32.1
68.866.6
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End8.8
Second
968
#40
17.80.8
15.915.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End5.2
blue by 8.8
4999
#31
26.62.1
23.521.4
Auto4.1
Teleop16.6
End5.9
Third
3759
#29
17.60.8
20.119.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 13.1
5669
#30
4.52.1
13.811.7
Auto1.4
Teleop1.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed