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Red103
347632.0
447029.5
265934.1
Blue95
340822.1
70234.4
116038.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1139305015020010395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+2
+6Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points40
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
78Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#6
6L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
2Foul points0
103Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#35
34.10.0
29.629.7
Auto6.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
blue by 4.3
1160
#26
38.40.5
34.535.0
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End2.0
Second
3476
#19
32.00.0
44.744.7
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End4.2
blue by 2.4
702
#17
34.40.5
34.535.0
Auto8.1
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Third
4470
#16
29.50.0
26.126.1
Auto1.9
Teleop17.7
End9.9
red by 7.4
3408
#34
22.10.5
18.619.1
Auto3.2
Teleop17.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed