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Red64
427627.9
580527.7
69117.9
Blue93
375917.6
119760.0
70234.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6114301002002503006493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+49
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave0
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +25
7Coral scored#13
26Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
34Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#22
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
64Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#37
27.90.8
29.428.6
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End7.0
blue by 32.1
60.02.3
65.363.1
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End5.7
Second
5805
#25
27.70.8
20.719.9
Auto5.5
Teleop18.8
End3.5
blue by 6.7
702
#17
34.42.3
35.032.7
Auto8.1
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Third
691
#18
17.90.8
17.316.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End6.2
red by 0.3
3759
#29
17.62.3
19.317.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed