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Red153
325552.2
412354.3
704241.3
Blue37
96817.8
56694.5
508913.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1693605010015020025030015337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+122Teleop
+122Endgame
+116Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
26Coral points0
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +105
18Coral scored#2
65Coral points6
3Processor algae#0
7Net algae#0
18Processor points0
28Net points0
46Algae points0
111Total teleop6
Reef
9L4#1
6L3#1
4L2#0
4L1 · trough#0
33Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +116
0Foul points6
153Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.30.7
48.949.6
Auto13.1
Teleop36.9
End4.4
red by 36.6
968
#40
17.81.2
15.113.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End5.2
Second
3255
#14
52.20.7
54.955.6
Auto9.0
Teleop35.4
End7.8
red by 38.5
5089
#33
13.61.2
21.820.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Third
41.30.7
38.839.5
Auto5.4
Teleop30.3
End5.6
red by 36.8
5669
#30
4.51.2
11.710.5
Auto1.4
Teleop1.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed