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Red73
347632.0
1102413.4
420139.4
Blue91
226.1
114843.1
59950.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941100501502007391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +11
10Coral scored#12
37Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
47Total teleop58
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
6Foul points6
73Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#11
39.41.5
36.435.0
Auto8.5
Teleop24.8
End6.1
blue by 10.9
599
#3
50.30.8
42.441.6
Auto10.5
Teleop38.8
End1.0
Second
3476
#19
32.01.5
44.743.2
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End4.2
blue by 11.1
1148
#20
43.10.8
49.548.6
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End6.0
Third
13.42.5
8.05.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End2.2
red by 7.2
22
#38
6.10.8
5.54.6
Auto3.9
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed