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Red46
432240.3
66588.8
407919.1
Blue93
347324.8
68728.5
116038.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84990501504693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+23
Endgame+37
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +17
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
38Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#2
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points10
46Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#27
40.32.3
50.448.1
Auto9.6
Teleop29.1
End1.5
red by 1.9
1160
#26
38.40.6
35.034.4
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End2.0
Second
4079
#42
19.12.3
21.919.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End1.7
blue by 9.4
687
#22
28.50.6
25.424.9
Auto5.3
Teleop17.8
End5.4
Third
6658
#41
8.82.3
8.56.2
Auto0.7
Teleop4.6
End3.5
blue by 16.0
3473
#28
24.80.6
31.030.5
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned