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Red152
29476.3
622020.8
265934.1
Blue162
113845.6
447029.5
263761.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120128050100150200250300152162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
40Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +3
22Coral scored#17
78Coral points61
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
12Processor points24
8Net points16
20Algae points40
98Total teleop101
Reef
9L4#10
6L3#5
8L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points2
152Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#5
76.32.4
66.669.1
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End8.8
red by 14.9
61.42.8
43.446.2
Auto17.1
Teleop36.4
End8.0
Second
2659
#35
34.12.4
29.732.1
Auto6.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
blue by 11.4
1138
#13
45.62.8
45.648.4
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End9.5
Third
6220
#21
20.82.4
16.318.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End3.8
blue by 8.7
4470
#16
29.52.8
26.129.0
Auto1.9
Teleop17.7
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsMissed