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Red253
607220.7
35996.6
519968.7
Blue143
271027.3
852129.6
69654.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20295050150250300253143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+78Teleop
+98Endgame
+110Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
6Leave9
6Coral scored#3
29Coral points14
35Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +66
29Coral scored#20
106Coral points72
7Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
42Processor points18
32Net points24
74Algae points42
180Total teleop114
Reef
13L4#9
8L3#5
8L2#6
6L1 · trough#3
50Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +110
12Foul points0
253Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
96.63.3
89.592.7
Auto20.5
Teleop65.6
End10.6
red by 42.3
696
#8
54.31.7
53.555.2
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End0.8
Second
5199
#15
68.73.3
63.666.9
Auto11.0
Teleop46.7
End10.9
red by 39.1
8521
#10
29.61.7
17.319.0
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.7
Third
6072
#36
20.73.3
18.722.0
Auto2.6
Teleop15.7
End2.4
blue by 6.7
2710
#23
27.31.7
27.729.4
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned