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Red77
852129.6
340822.1
96817.8
Blue72
607220.7
265934.1
59734.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5410101502007772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+3
+3Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
57Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#6
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
2Foul points0
77Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8521
#10
29.61.5
19.020.5
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.7
blue by 5.3
597
#24
34.90.8
30.129.3
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End1.3
Second
3408
#34
22.11.5
19.220.7
Auto3.2
Teleop17.2
End1.6
blue by 12.1
2659
#35
34.10.8
32.131.3
Auto6.8
Teleop25.2
End2.1
Third
968
#40
17.81.5
13.915.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End5.2
blue by 2.9
6072
#36
20.70.8
22.021.2
Auto2.6
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed